Journal of Earth Science & Climatic Change
黑料网
Our Group organises 3000+ Global Events every year across USA, Europe & Asia with support from 1000 more scientific Societies and Publishes 700+ 黑料网 Journals which contains over 50000 eminent personalities, reputed scientists as editorial board members.
黑料网 Journals gaining more Readers and Citations
700 Journals and 15,000,000 Readers Each Journal is getting 25,000+ Readers
Citations : 5125
Indexed In
- CAS Source Index (CASSI)
- Index Copernicus
- Google Scholar
- Sherpa Romeo
- Online Access to Research in the Environment (OARE)
- Open J Gate
- Genamics JournalSeek
- JournalTOCs
- Ulrich's Periodicals Directory
- Access to Global Online Research in Agriculture (AGORA)
- Centre for Agriculture and Biosciences International (CABI)
- RefSeek
- Hamdard University
- EBSCO A-Z
- OCLC- WorldCat
- Proquest Summons
- SWB online catalog
- Publons
- Euro Pub
- ICMJE
Useful Links
Recommended Journals
Related Subjects
Share This Page
In Association with
Will extremes become the norm under future climate change?
World Conference on Climate Change
Renalda El-Samra, Elie Bou-Zeid, Hamza Kunhu Bangalath, Georgiy Stenchikov and Mutasem El-Fadel
American University of Beirut, Lebanon Princeton University, USA King Abdullah University of Science and Technology, Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
ScientificTracks Abstracts: J Earth Sci Clim Change
DOI:
Abstract
High resolution dynamical precipitation and temperature downscalling is conducted for the past (2008) and the near future (2011-2050) climates under two Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) (RCP4.5 and RCP8.5) over a complex topographical terrain along the eastern Mediterranean basin using the Weather Research and Forecast (WRF) model. WRF is run at two nested resolutions of 9 and 3km, forced by the High-Resolution Atmospheric Model (HiRAM) at a resolution of 25km. The future simulations covered eight years (one year per decade per scenario) that were judiciouslly selected based on an anomaly score that depends on the mean annual temperature and accumulated precipitation in order to identify the worst year per decade from a water resources perspective. Climate indices derived from daily simulated precipitation and temperature data show significant decrease in annual precipitation (rain and snow), reaching up to 30% relative to current conditions, in addition to changes in daily maximum summer and minimum winter temperature extremes. Seasonal variability is predicted to increase significantly, with colder winters and warmer summer projected for the study area and with notable increases in the annual occurrence of warm nights and heat wave events. The projected increase in extreme temperatures and reduction in precipitation will have an adverse effect on agriculture, ecosystems, as well as human health and comfort.Biography
Renalda El-Samra is PhD Candidate in Environmental & Water Resources Engineering at AUB. She has over two decades of professional experience in the environmental sector.
Email: mfadel@aub.edu.lb
